Nonlinearities and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics

نویسندگان

  • Jean Imbs
  • Haroon Mumtaz
  • Morten O. Ravn
  • Hélène Rey
چکیده

We con...rm the presence of substantial non-linearities in real exchange rate dynamics at the sectoral level. There exists zones where arbitrage is not pro...table because of transaction costs, and thus mean reversion is inexistent. We compute the speed of mean reversion of sector speci...c real exchange rates, conditional on the existence of arbitrage as implied by our non-linear estimations, and relate them to plausible economic determinants such as tradability and exchange rate volatility.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

The Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility on Iran’s Bilateral Trade in Six Major Countries

The main aim of this study is to investigate the effect of exchange rate uncertainty on trade balance between Iran and countries which are major  trading partner of Iran, using the EGARCH method and the ARDL model (to examine the coherency and short- and long-term dynamics of the model). The data used in this paper includes quarterly data in the period of 1995 to 2017 for the real effective exc...

متن کامل

Investigating the Short- run and Long-run Causality Relationship between the Exchange Rate Regime and the Real Exchange Rate Misalignment in the OPEC Countries

Real exchange rate misalignment means that the real exchange rate deviates from its equilibrium level and is the cause of many domestic and global economic problems. This index is considered as an important indicator in foreign competition and in case of adopting an inappropriate exchange rate regime; it may create economic instability and affect economic performance. This issue is important in...

متن کامل

The Effect of Exchange Rate Uncertainty on Import with TARCH Approach

This paper investigates the effect of exchange rate uncertainty on the Iran’s import trade. The exchange rate ‎uncertainty series were generated utilizing the TARCH model. This model analyzes the asymmetric effects. The analysis of uncertainty and asymmetry ‎of the exchange rate shows significant TARCH ‎effect on Iran’s exchange rates‎. The findings of the study indicate negative shocks (bad ne...

متن کامل

The Analysis of Real Exchange Rate Volatility and Stock Exchange Return with PANEL-GARCH Approach (Case Study: D8 Countries)

S tock returns of companies listed on the stock exchange is one of the most important criteria in assessing the macroeconomic. This study investigates the effect of exchange rate Volatility on the stock exchange Returns of D8 countries. It takes monthly data during the period (2008:1-2015:6) constituting 90 observations. At first we used Panel-GARCH model to estimate Exchange Rate Vo...

متن کامل

The Effect of Real Exchange Rate Variability on Industrial Output: Empirical Evidence from OIC

The exchange rate plays an essential role for firms which export goods and import raw materials. In this paper, the effects of real specific exchange rate fluctuations in imports, exports and aggregate trade on industry sector, chemical and transportation industries outputs in 49 OIC countries were investigated by using a panel data model over 1990-2014. Particularly, this paper presents eviden...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2002